The Eurostat Handbook on quarterly National Accounts defines the flash estimates as:
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„…the earliest picture of the economy according to national accounts concepts, which is produced and published as soon as possible after the end of the quarter, using a more incomplete set of information than that used for traditional quarterly accounts…”
(subject to subsequent update and revisions) expert assessments and models for the components of GDPstructure, for which direct basic information at the time of calculation is not available.
Flash estimates of GDP for the second quarter of 2017 were prepared within 47 days after the reference period. They are presented in a standard format for publication of quarterly national accounts data – current prices, relative shares of the components in the GDPstructure and growth rates as compared to the previous quarter and compared to the same period of the previous year. According to the Release Calendar, the NSI will prepare and publish preliminary quarterly estimates of GDP for the second quarter of 2017 on September 5th 2017. GDP in monetary terms, current prices According to the flash GDPestimates for the second quarter of 2017, the GDP at current prices amounted to BGN 24 309 million.
Gross Value Added in the second quarter of 2017 amounted to 20 958 million BGN. In the structure of GDP by the expenditure approach the largest share has the final consumption(76.0%), which in nominal terms amounted to 18 482 million BGN. In the second quarter of 2017 gross capital formation is BGN 5 238 million and has a share of 21.6% in GDP. The external balance (exports minus imports) has a positive sign.
According to the seasonally adjusted data , the GDP growth rate in the second quarter of 2017 is 0.9%.
According to the flash estimates by final expenditure the GDP growth in the second quarter of 2017 is determined by increase of the Gross fixed capital formation with 2.4%, exports of goods and services with 1.7% and final consumption with 0.4%.
The second quarter of 2017 GDP at seasonally adjusted data increased by 3.6% compared to the same quarter of the previous year. Gross value added increased by 3.8%. As regards the expenditure components of GDP, the final consumption registered a positive economic growth by 4.2%. Gross fixed capital formation decreased by 0.9% compared to the same quarter of the previous year. Exports and imports of goods and services increased by 6.1% and 7.0% respectively.
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